New Evidence: Simple Forecasts Beat Complex Forecasts
Always seek to simplify. Occam’s razor teaches us we should cut away any extraneous factors that are unnecessary to explain something. Stated another way, we [...]
Always seek to simplify. Occam’s razor teaches us we should cut away any extraneous factors that are unnecessary to explain something. Stated another way, we [...]
In 2007, Warren Buffett gave an extended talk to a group of MBA students at the University of Florida. During it, Buffett spends some time talking [...]
In 2007, Warren Buffett gave an extended talk to a group of MBA students at the University of Florida. Below are some highlights: Question: You [...]
Among a certain set of people, the desire to be good at poker is just in their bones. Maybe it’s because they want to win [...]
A recent IMF World Economic Outlook survey projected that in 2015-2016 advanced economies will grow at 2%-2.5% rate, while emerging and developing markets are growing [...]
Every few years, people start to question whether value investing is dead. A recent Google search along these lines generated 3.1 million results: Likewise, people [...]
Back in 1994, Charlie Munger gave a talk to students at the USC Business School (a copy is here), covering topics ranging from mathematics and [...]
Researchers at Stanford recently conducted a study that found that the physical act of walking improved creative thinking in subjects. We believe creative thinking is an [...]
Back in 1790, Ben Franklin created his Last Will and Testament, and set forth his wishes for the disposition of his property: …I devote two [...]
James Simons is an American academic and businessman who in 1982 founded Renaissance Technologies, which today is among the best known quantitative investment management funds [...]
Recapping Older Ideas on Socially Responsible Investments Back in 1970, Milton Friedman wrote an article for the New York Times Magazine that outlined his views [...]
We've spent a lot of time these days thinking about how to identify economic moat, or a firm's ability to defend against competitive forces in [...]
The Best Investment with the Worst Performance We are huge believers in value investing. I personally started off as a fundamental value guy, spending twenty-plus [...]
Interactive Brokers recently posted a hilarious video, which highlights potential conflicts between advisers and investors. http://youtu.be/N2bHXn__EZM We transcribed the video below: [The scene: two [...]
Book Overview One of the most fundamental choices for any investor is their approach to strategic asset allocation. What are the major asset classes to [...]
The Wharton Blog Network recently posted a great piece by Maurice Lefkort on Appraisal Arbitrage, an esoteric area of finance in which legal rules that [...]
Book Overview Anyone involved in business has observed that certain products, services or ideas seem to catch on and become wildly popular. Others ideas fall [...]
Here's the bottomline: As an investor, you've probably been helped by high-frequency-trading, but it is equally likely you've been SCREWED by high-frequency trading. As a [...]
Earlier this month, McKinsey published a remarkable report on trends in global debt, and concludes that the world's debt, rather than decreasing, is in fact [...]
Book Overview In today’s complex financial world, borrowing rates are all around us, implicit in everything from our credit cards to our mortgages. Many of these [...]
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