Daily Academic Alpha: Momentum Investing
Fundamentally, Momentum is Fundamental Momentum Momentum in firm fundamentals, i.e., earnings momentum, explains the performance of strategies based on price momentum. Earnings surprise measures subsume [...]
Which Value Investing Metrics Should You Trust?
Barry has a nice piece in the Washington Post asking a simple question: What is the best valuation metric to assess if a stock is cheap or [...]
Why The Low-Volatility Anomaly Exists
Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly Baker, Bradley and Wurgler A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of [...]
Timing Value and Momentum with Valuation-Spreads
We were recently passed along an article suggesting that valuation spreads, or the spread in a valuation metric across the most expensive and least expensive stocks, matters [...]
Market Valuations based on CAPE–A Deeper Dive
We have discussed market valuations in the past, but the issue of market valuations was recently raised on CNBC, when Robert Shiller suggested he may shift out [...]
The Wrong Way to Pick Value Investing Funds
US News laundry lists their top 10 "Value Investing Funds," or Value Investing ETFs, in their recent article: http://money.usnews.com/funds/etfs/rankings/value-funds The criteria (and weighting) for selecting so-called [...]
Overnight Momentum vs. Intraday Momentum
A Tug of War: Overnight Versus Intraday Expected Returns Lou, Polk and Skouras A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of [...]
Where are the Cheap Firms Internationally?
Last week, Wes had a short post entitled, Where are the Cheap Firms? The post showed that when we look at the cheapest stocks in [...]
Quantitative Momentum Research: Price and Earnings Momentum
Momentum Strategies Chan, Jegadeesh and Lakonishok A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers with alpha? Check out our Academic [...]
Where are the Cheap Firms?
Energy (mostly oil-related) and consumer discretionary (brick & mortar retailers). Cheap--or at least relatively cheap--based on enterprise multiples.
Weekend Geekout: The History of Low Volatility Investing
Eric Falkenstein is an economist, with a PhD in economics, a quantitative geek, and a book writer. In his blog, Falkenblog, there are voluminous mind-blowing articles since [...]
Why Indexing and “Smart Beta” Are So Popular
Asset Manager Contracts and Equilibrium Prices Buffa, Vayanos, and Woolley (2014) A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers [...]
Quantitative Momentum Research: Short-Term Return Reversal
Fads, Martingales, and Market Efficiency Lehmann A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers with alpha? Check out our Academic [...]
Quantitative Momentum Research: Long-Term Return Reversal
Does the Stock Market Overreact? De Bondt and Thaler A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers with alpha? [...]
Quantitative Momentum Research: Intermediate-Term Momentum
Return to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency Jegadeesh and Titman A version of the paper can be found here. Want a [...]
Value Investing: 2014 Value Stock Research Recap
The success and failure of value investing can be boiled down into two components: Buy Cheap Stuff Avoid Behavioral Bias Buy Cheap Stuff Ben Graham outlined [...]
How to Calculate Volatility in Excel
Wild-swinging oil prices have caused some chaos, or "volatility," in the financial markets recently. We've also heard a lot in the financial media regarding the [...]
Value Investing: Digging Manager Graveyards Since 1963.
Following value strategies can be hazardous to one's wealth in the short run. Oil stocks are a great example of the challenge value investors face: The stocks [...]
Oil Stocks: A Real-Time Case Study in Value Investing
I just took a snapshot of the front page of Yahoo Finance, CNBC.com, and Bloomberg.com: Bloomberg.com @ 1725 EST CNBC.com @ 1725 [...]
The Robust Asset Allocation (RAA) Index
Robust asset allocation solutions should be relatively simple, minimize complexity, and be robust across different market regimes. Simultaneous to these requirements, the solution must be affordable, liquid, simple, tax-efficient, and transparent, otherwise, many of the benefits of the solution will flow to the croupiers and Uncle Sam. We recommend that investors explore our robust asset allocation framework and go for the do-it-yourself solution. You'll be paying yourself 1%+ a year via saved RIA fees. Is this the only solution? No. But any solution must be robust, simple, tax-manageable, and low-cost. This is our best effort to develop a simple model. Developing a complicated model is easy; simple is difficult.