Trend Following is Everywhere
Similar to some better-known factors, such as size and value, time-series momentum (TSMOM) historically has demonstrated abnormal excess returns. For the less familiar with trend [...]
How to Compute Active Share
In the short video below, I show how to compute Active Share. The accompanying excel file with the formulas can be found here. I start [...]
Estimating Pandemic Economic Costs for “Face-to-Face” Businesses
Business disruptions from social distancing Miklós Koren and Rita PetoCovid Economics, Center for Economic Policy ResearchA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read [...]
Dividends, Stock Prices, and Inflation.
Building on the concepts presented in my Dividends Are Different article, here we present data and observations highlighting the relationship between inflation and 1) company [...]
Attention Data Geeks: Our Factor Investing Data Library is Open
Are you doing independent factor research? Have you spent countless hours on Ken French's website? Do you run factor regressions for "fun"? Congrats -- you [...]
Is There a Tail Risk Premium in Stocks?
It has been well documented both that stock returns have much fatter tails than a normal distribution would generate, and that tail events occur much [...]
How Cheap (or Expensive) Are Value Stocks?
What are the two most annoying words in forecasting? IT DEPENDS. In this piece we look at the "value" of value, which has been beaten [...]
Trend Following Reality: You Need Trends to Trend-Follow
You Can't Always Trend When You Want Abhilash Babu, Brendan Hoffman, Ari Levine, Yao Hua Ooi, Sarah Schroeder and Erik Stamelos The Journal of Portfolio Management, March 2020A version of this [...]
Compound Your Knowledge Ep 28: Bond ETF discussion with Jon Seed
In mid-February, prior to the market craziness, Jon Seed posted an article on our site titled: “Price”, ETFs, and Bond Market Liquidity. This was a [...]
The Economic Consequences of Pandemics: A Guide from History
Pandemics: Long-Run Effects Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, Alan M. TaylorCEPR PressA version of this paper can be found here Want to read our summaries of academic finance [...]
Daily vs. Monthly Trend-Following Rules…Plus Some DIY Tools!
Trend-following strategies are a lot like stock-picking strategies -- there are endless approaches and varying levels of complexity. In this short piece, we explore the [...]
Volatility, Risk Management, and Market Chaos: Research that Might Help
Given the recent market decline, we thought it would be helpful to review some of our blog posts from the past that may be relevant [...]
Pandemics and Factor Investing: A Glimpse into the Past
Equity Styles and the Spanish Flu Guido Baltussen, Pim van VlietA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance [...]
Volatility Expectations and Returns
A large body of research, including the 2017 study “Tail Risk Mitigation with Managed Volatility Strategies” by Anna Dreyer and Stefan Hubrich, demonstrates that while [...]
DIY Asset Allocation Weights: April 2020
Do-It-Yourself tactical asset allocation weights for the Robust Asset Allocation Index are posted here. (Note: free registration required) Request a free account here if you [...]
An Empirical Challenge for Trend-Following
Editor's Note: For the foreseeable future, we'll be focusing on research that explores investment strategies that are believed to help investors manage risk and diversify [...]
Compound Your Knowledge Ep 27: Value, Momentum, and Low Volatility
In this video, we examine two articles highlighted on our site. The first article, written by Larry Swedroe, examines the Value and Momentum performance over [...]
Compound Your Knowledge Ep 26: Bond Mutual Funds and ETFs
Last week, there were some pretty big dislocations between bond mutual funds and ETFs. I picked one specific example I found interesting, comparing the Vanguard [...]
Corporate Governance, ESG, and Stock Returns around the World
Corporate Governance, ESG, and Stock Returns around the World Mozzafar KahnFinancial Analysts JournalA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of [...]
Social Distancing: Why and What Does it Mean?
Editor's Note: This is not a quantitative finance post and is an editorial piece by Jack Vogel on a topic in which he has a [...]