Natural Gas Trading and Mental Accounting
It has been a long, cold winter on the East Coast. This has been very good for anyone long natural gas. Below is a chart, [...]
Buffett versus Asness on Bonds: Terrible Investment or Good Diversifier?
Financial news TV shows are a great place to wage philosophical battles, particularly with respect to investing, which tends to gets people’s juices flowing. Warren [...]
Leverage local economics for higher stock returns
Geographic Diffusion of Information and Stock Returns Jawad M. Addoum, Alok Kumar, Kelvin Law A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary [...]
An After-Hours Arbitrage Opportunity: $50k to $760k in 12 years?
Slow Price Adjustment to Public News in After-Hours Trading Jiasun Li A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers [...]
Professors Gone Wild: $420k illicit gains on a $30k investment
A couple of University of Florida professors got busted by the SEC in a fairly fascinating trading scheme. In total, the profs earned $420,000 in [...]
A Better Way to Buy the Russell 2000
Long-Term Impact of Russell 2000 Index Rebalancing Jie Cai and Todd Houge, CFA A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of [...]
The Pursuit of Useless Information: Does this apply to Stock Picking?
Many in the investing world feel that, when assessing securities for purchase, the more information that can be assembled, the better off the investor. In [...]
CFA Institute Magazine Quote: Algos Dreaming
The latest edition of the CFA Institute Magazine has an interesting article on "Do Algorithms Dream of Electronic Clients?" They even managed to quote me as [...]
Bias Algorithms? How Ironic!
Human bias in algorithmic trading John Broussard, Andrei Nikiforov A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers with alpha? [...]
Woefully Neglected Evidence on Systematic Decision Making
50 Years of Successful Predictive Modeling Should Be Enough: Lessons for Philosophy of Science Our aim in this paper is to bring the woefully neglected literature on [...]
Is Hiring Bad for Stock Returns?
Labor Hiring, Investment, and Stock Return Predictability in the Cross Section Frederico Belo, Xiaoji Lin, Santigo Bazdresch A version of the paper can be found here. [...]
Imagine the World in 2035: No “poor” countries
Bill and Melinda Gates think it is possible: By 2035, there will be almost no poor countries left in the world. Check out the Gates [...]
Models vs. Experts: #15: Do Behavioral cues matter?
Psychiatric diagnoses: A study of how they are made Kendell, R. E. British Journal of Psychiatry, 122, 437-445 An online version of the paper can [...]
A Compilation of Evidence-Based Trading Ideas
We get constant emails asking us: Where is there a one-stop shop" for different trading ideas? And I always have the same answer: Our Academic [...]
The Psychology of Scarcity: Part 2 of 2 (Bonus! Scarcity in Asset Allocation)
How can one optimize performance and decision-making when one is affected by scarcity? This is the subject of Part 2 of our 2-part scarcity series. [...]
Equity Term Structure and Option Returns
Equity Volatility Term Structures and the Cross-Section of Option Return Aurelio Vasquez A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic [...]
Insider Trading via Your Kid’s Accounts?
Informed Trading through the Accounts of Children Henk Berkman, Paul D. Koch and P. Joakim Westerholm A version of the paper can be found here. Want [...]
Sovereign Bonds Spreads: Your Politics Matter.
Political Risk Spreads Bekaert, Harvey, Lundblad, and Siegal A version of the paper can be found here. Want a summary of academic papers with alpha? Check [...]
Confirmation Bias Strikes Again…
http://www.cnn.com/2014/01/17/travel/southwest-wrong-airport The pilots of Southwest flight 4013 say that Branson Airport was correctly programmed into their on-board computer Sunday, but that they "mistakenly identified" another [...]
Fama Doesn’t Deserve a Nobel Prize?
Marty Whitman makes a bold statement in his recent letter: “I am disappointed that a Nobel Prize was awarded to Eugene Fama, who studies only markets and [...]