Is There a Tail Risk Premium in Stocks?
It has been well documented both that stock returns have much fatter tails than a normal distribution would generate, and that tail events occur much [...]
Is There Something Wrong with the Value Premium?
The dramatic underperformance of the value premium since 2018, among the largest drawdowns in history, has led many to question its existence. It is certainly [...]
Do Insider Trades Provide Insights into Future Returns?
The volume of work that has been done on insider transactions is not inconsequential, we've covered a variety of research on the topic in several [...]
The Gap Between Large and Small Companies is Growing. Why?
In my role as chief research officer for the Buckingham Family of Financial Services, I receive many questions from investors and advisors alike, asking me [...]
The Massive Performance Divergence Between Large Growth and Small Value Stocks
From 2017 through 2019, the Russell 1000 Growth Index returned 20.5 percent per annum, outperforming the Russell 1000 Value Index, which returned 9.7 percent, by [...]
The Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: Then and Now
One of the interesting puzzles in finance is that stocks with greater idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) have produced lower returns (see an earlier post here). This [...]
Improving the Performance of Deep Value Strategies
A large body of evidence demonstrates that investment strategies focused on buying stocks that are cheap relative to measures of fundamental value have achieved higher [...]
Global Impact of Investor Home Country Bias
A large body of research demonstrates that “familiarity breeds investment.” For example, a study by Gur Huberman found that shortly after AT&T was broken up [...]
Are Earnings Forecasts of Sell-side Analysts Biased?
There is a substantial body of evidence linking various accounting ratios to expected stock returns. One explanation of the links is that they could be [...]
Are Value, Carry and Momentum Regime Dependent?
Over the past decade academics and practitioners alike have argued that multi-factor portfolios offer significant benefits to investors looking for enhanced and more diversified solutions. [...]
The Investment Factor and Expected Returns
Editor's note: Earlier this week, Lu Zhang discussed his thoughts on the investment factor and expected returns. In this piece, Larry discusses a recent research [...]
What Returns Should Investors Expect from Private Equity
The collapse in interest rates, combined with historically high valuations (at least for U.S. stocks), have led many endowments, pension plans (especially those with large [...]
Can We Explain the Low Volatility Anomaly?
One of the big problems for the first formal asset pricing model developed by financial economists, the CAPM, was that it predicts a positive relation [...]
Structured Notes: The Exploitation of Retail Investors
One of the most well known and most beloved forms of literature is the fairy tale. Although most fairy tales are not about fairies, they [...]
The Variance Risk Premium is Pervasive
The variance risk premium (VRP) refers to the fact that, over time, the option-implied volatility has tended to exceed the realized volatility of the same [...]
Strategies to Reduce Crash Risk in Stocks
Because equities are much riskier than high-quality bonds, the vast majority of the risk of a conventional 60 percent equity/40 percent bond portfolio is equity [...]
Enhancing the Performance of Momentum Strategies
In “Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing,” Andy Berkin and I presented the evidence demonstrating that momentum, both cross-sectional (or relative) momentum and time-series (or [...]
Is Active Management Skilled? If So, Who Benefits?
According to Christian mythology, the Holy Grail was the dish, plate or cup with miraculous powers that were used by Jesus at the Last Supper. [...]
The Curse of Popularity
We can define popularity as the condition of being admired, sought after, well-known, and/or accepted. One would think popularity is a good thing. However, when [...]
Does Leverage Explain the Investment Premium?
Research demonstrates that the investment factor has explanatory power for the cross-section of stock returns, with high-investment firms tending to underperform low-investment firms. For example, [...]