Volatility scaling is useful for factor timing
This paper investigates the effects of volatility scaling on factor portfolio performance and factor timing.
The “Resurrected” Size Effect and Monetary Policy
Given that tightening monetary policy increases economic risks, Simpson and Grossman provided compelling evidence of a risk explanation for the size factor. For those investors who engage in tactical asset allocation strategies (market timing), their evidence suggests that it might be possible to exploit the information. Before jumping to that conclusion, I would caution that because markets are forward-looking, they should anticipate periods of Fed tightening and the heightened risks of small stocks.
Investing in Deflation, Inflation, and Stagflation Regimes
In this article, we examine the research on investing during inflationary regimes such as deflation, inflation, and stagflation. Factors perform relatively well in all regimes on a real basis.
Trend Following and Relative Sentiment: Complementary Factors
Since it is likely that both the Relative Sentiment and Trend Following strategies will underperform at some points in the future, “a 50-50 combination of TF and RS might reduce the emotional volatility an investor may experience from holding only the underperforming strategy.”
Want to Get on a Corporate Board? Who You Know Matters
Here's what the research says about how to get on a board of directors.
Does Momentum work in Option Markets?
This paper explores the question of option momentum by examining what the research says about the performance of option investments across different stocks.
Optimal Trend Following Rules in Two-State Regime-Switching Models
We examine trend-following rules when the stock returns follow a two-state process that randomly switches between bull and bear markets.
Active Managers are Subject to the Same Biases as Individual Investors
Are active managers victims of the same bias as individual investors? That is the question we’ll explore in this paper.
Is there a theoretical foundation behind industry and factor momentum
Industry and factor momentum should be viewed as recent developments in the wider momentum story, although these aggregated measures of momentum lack any theoretical foundation.
The Cross Section of Stock Returns Pre-CRSP data: Value and Momentum are confirmed as robust anomalies
We study the cross-section of stock returns using a novel constructed database of U.S. stocks covering 61 years of independent data.
Market Risk and Speculative Factors
Soroush Ghazi and Mark Schneider authors of the August 2022 study “Market Risk and Speculation Factors” decomposed the excess market return (the equity risk premium) into speculative (in the simple sense that it is negative, reflecting a premium investors pay to hold assets that are more subject to speculative demand) and non-speculative, or risk (in the simple sense that it is positive, a necessary characteristic for a factor to reflect compensation for risk) components.
Momentum Factor Investing: 30 years of Out of Sample Data
In this article, the author examines the research published over the last 30 years on momentum and its theoretical credibility. One of the original momentum articles was published by Jegadeesh and Titman in 1993, and is considered the seminal work on the topic. The research review contained in this publication begins with the 1993 work and confines itself to only the highest quality journals among the plethora of work that has been published on momentum.
Mind the Momentum Gap to Improve Performance
This article discusses the academic research about the Momentum Gap and the role that its predictive potential may have in reducing momentum crashes, hence possibly improving performance.
Bias in Beta and Implications for Empirical Asset Pricing
In this article, the author examines several important questions related to asynchronous trading, or the variation in trading frequency that occurs when trading stocks or other assets.
Are ESG strategies more effective for societal impact or performance?
In this article, we examine the research addressing the question of to what extent, if any, ESG strategies improve investment performance on a risk-adjusted basis, or if they are more effectively used for the societal impact they potentially have.
The Effect of Indexing on Price Discovery and Limits to Arbitrage
We discuss the academic research about the causal effect of indexing on arbitrage conditions and price discovery.
Is Democracy better for the stock market?
We examine the question of whether or not democracy leads to better possible outcomes for the stock market.
Lottery Demand and the Asset Growth Anomaly
It is well documented in the literature that over the long term, low-investment firms have outperformed high-investment firms—with the negative relation between asset growth (AG) and future stock returns particularly featured by the overvaluation of high AG stocks.
Pulling the curtain back: what do millionaires invest in?
In this article, we examine the academic research about what millionaires invest in.
Momentum Everywhere, Including Emerging Markets
Atilgan et al. contribute to the momentum literature with “Momentum and Downside Risk in Emerging Markets.”