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Can the Best Stock Pickers Still Beat the Market? An Out of Sample Test

By |2020-09-14T08:52:06-04:00September 14th, 2020|Financial Planning, Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Active and Passive Investing|

Can mutual fund stars still pick stocks?: A replication and extension of Kosowski, Timmermann, Wermers, and White (2006) Timothy Riley and Sam WaltonCritical Review of Finance, 2019A version of this paper can be found hereWant to [...]

Predicting Bond Returns? Focus on GDP Growth and Inflation Indicators

By |2020-09-08T08:31:59-04:00September 8th, 2020|Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Machine Learning, Fixed Income|

Predicting Bond Returns: 70 Years of International Evidence Guido Baltussen, Martin Martens, Olaf PenningaWorking PaperA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category [...]

Effects of Portfolio Construction on the Performance of Style Factor ETFs

By |2020-08-31T08:50:00-04:00August 31st, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, ETF Investing|

The Effects of Portfolio Construction on the Performance of Style Factor ETFs or How to Build a Style Factor ETF That Does What It Says Jason MacQueenJournal of Portfolio Management A version of this paper [...]

How to Measure and Understand Portfolio Tail Risk Events

By |2020-08-27T10:35:54-04:00August 27th, 2020|Crisis Alpha, Research Insights, Factor Investing, Guest Posts, Academic Research Insight|

Arnold Polanski, Evarist Stoja, Frank WindmeijerJournal of Applied Econometrics, 2019A version of this paper can be found here.Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category What are [...]

Does Gold do What it is Supposed to do?

By |2020-08-24T11:51:24-04:00August 24th, 2020|Crisis Alpha, Research Insights, Academic Research Insight|

Gold, the Golden Constant, COVID-19, "massive Passives," and Déjà Vu Claude Erb, Campbell R. Harvey, Tadas ViskantaA version of this paper can be found here.Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out [...]

Even Great Investments Experience Massive Drawdowns

By |2020-08-17T18:19:53-04:00August 20th, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Larry Swedroe, Academic Research Insight, Value Investing Research|

Editor's Note: The ability of value investors to adhere to their investment strategy has been put to the greatest test ever. From January 2017 through March 2020, in terms of total returns, the Russell 3000 [...]

Fascinating Research Alert: Earning Calls, Clichès, and Negative Abnormal Returns

By |2020-08-17T11:26:16-04:00August 17th, 2020|Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Machine Learning|

When More or Less is Less: Managers' Clichès J. Klevak, J. Livnat, and K. SuslavaJournal of Financial Data Science, Summer 2019A version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance [...]

What is Sequence Risk and Can Trend Following Help Reduce It?

By |2020-08-10T10:50:08-04:00August 10th, 2020|Research Insights, Trend Following, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight|

Reducing Sequence Risk Using Trend Following and the CAPE Ratio Andrew Clare, James Seaton, Peter N. Smith, and Stephen ThomasFinancial Analysts Journal A version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of [...]

Cross-Asset Signals and Time-Series Momentum

By |2020-08-03T11:12:14-04:00August 6th, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Larry Swedroe, Academic Research Insight, Momentum Investing Research|

In their paper “Time Series Momentum,” published in the May 2012 issue of the Journal of Financial Economics, Tobias Moskowitz, Yao Hua Ooi and Lasse Pedersen documented significant time-series momentum (trend) in equity index, currency, [...]

CEOs Formative Years and the Gender Gap

By |2020-08-03T11:08:48-04:00August 3rd, 2020|ESG, Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight|

The Origins and Real Effects of the Gender Gap: Evidence from CEOs’ Formative Years Ran Duchin, Mikhail Simutin and Denis SosyuraReview of Financial Studies, 2020A version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our [...]

Is Systematic Value Dead???

By |2020-07-21T18:11:50-04:00July 30th, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Larry Swedroe, Academic Research Insight, Value Investing Research|

Value investing is the age-old investment strategy that buys securities that appear cheap relative to some fundamental anchor. Ronen Israel, Kristoffer Laursen, Scott A. Richardson in "Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead" There is a large [...]

Relative Skewness: A New Risk Factor?

By |2020-07-27T11:36:34-04:00July 27th, 2020|Skewness, Research Insights, Factor Investing, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Tactical Asset Allocation Research|

Cross-Asset Skew Nick Baltas and Gabriel SalinasWorking Paper, SSRNA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category What are the research [...]

Fundamental Momentum, the Carry Trade, and Currency Returns

By |2020-07-21T11:28:33-04:00July 23rd, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Larry Swedroe, Academic Research Insight, Momentum Investing Research|

Momentum in prices is the tendency of assets that have performed well recently (such as over the prior year) to outperform assets in the same asset class that have performed poorly over the prior year. [...]

What is Impact Investing?

By |2020-07-20T10:58:02-04:00July 20th, 2020|Financial Planning, ESG, Research Insights, Factor Investing, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Value Investing Research|

Impact Investing 2.0: Not Just for Do-Gooders Anymore Diana LiebermanThe Journal of Investing, Winter 2020A version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category [...]

Left Tail Risk and Left Tail Momentum

By |2020-07-13T13:19:48-04:00July 14th, 2020|Research Insights, Larry Swedroe, Academic Research Insight, Momentum Investing Research|

The positive trade-off between risk and expected return is the most fundamental concept in financial economics. Most investors are risk-averse. In order to hold higher-risk securities, they demand higher compensation in the form of higher [...]

Reducing Estimation Error in Mean-Variance Optimization

By |2020-07-13T11:00:18-04:00July 13th, 2020|Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight, Tactical Asset Allocation Research|

Enhanced Portfolio Optimization Lasse Heje Pedersen, Abhilash Babu, and Ari LevineWorking Paper, SSRNA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category [...]

Do Treasuries Have a Place in a Modern Portfolio?

By |2020-07-28T14:41:16-04:00July 9th, 2020|Research Insights, Academic Research Insight, Fixed Income, Macroeconomics Research|

Do treasuries, most yielding well south of 1%, have a place in a modern portfolio? Currently at these levels, I conclude they don’t. Modern Portfolio Theory says that “the market” portfolio, leveraged or not, has [...]

Market Return Around the Clock

By |2020-07-06T13:47:26-04:00July 7th, 2020|Overnight Returns Research, Research Insights, Factor Investing, Guest Posts, Academic Research Insight, Tactical Asset Allocation Research|

Market Return Around the Clock: A Puzzle Oleg Bondarenko and Dmitriy MuravyevWorking PaperA version of this paper can be found hereWant to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category [...]

Board Diversity: When Will We Break Through the Glass Ceiling?

By |2020-09-02T13:09:07-04:00July 6th, 2020|ESG, Research Insights, Basilico and Johnsen, Academic Research Insight|

Board leadership positions elude diverse directors Laura Casares Field, Matthew Souther, and Adam YoreJournal of Financial Economics, 2020A version of this paper can be found here. Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check [...]

Combining Momentum with Long-Term Reversal

By |2020-07-02T11:20:25-04:00July 3rd, 2020|Research Insights, Factor Investing, Larry Swedroe, Trend Following, Academic Research Insight, Momentum Investing Research|

Two of most documented anomalies in the asset pricing literature are the momentum effect and the long-term reversal effect. Momentum is typically defined as the last 12 months of returns excluding the most recent month [...]

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