A physicist, a chemist, and an economist are stranded on an island, with nothing to eat. A can of soup washes ashore. The physicist says, “Let’s smash the can open with a rock”. The chemist [...]
In “Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing,” Andy Berkin and I presented the evidence demonstrating that momentum, both cross-sectional (or relative) momentum and time-series (or absolute, trend following) momentum, not only increases the explanatory power [...]
Welcome to the first installment of Reproducible Finance by way of Alpha Architect. For the uninitiated, this series is a bit different than the other stuff on AA - we'll focus on writing clean, reproducible [...]
Factor Premia and Factor Timing: A Century of Evidence Antti Ilmanen, Ronen Israel, Toby Moskowitz, Ashwin Thapar, and Franklin Wang Working paper A version of this paper can be found here What are the research questions? [...]
Matthias x. Hanauer, Jochim G. Lauterbach A version of this paper can be found here Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category. What are the Research Questions? As a [...]
Factor Momentum Everywhere Tarun Gupta and Bryan Kelly Journal of Portfolio Management A version of this paper can be found here Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight [...]
Since the development of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the 1960s, hundreds of anomalies (what John Cochrane famously called a “zoo of new factors”) have been uncovered in the cross-section of stock returns. [...]
Momentum Factor Investing in 19th Century Imperial Russia William Goetzmann and Siman Huang JFE, forthcoming. A version of this paper can be found here. What are the research questions? Momentum is often considered the "premier anomaly" [...]
There is a 72% probability of the San Franciso Bay Area getting hit by at least one earthquake of a magnitude of 6.7 or stronger between today and 2043 according to the United States Geological Survey, [...]
In the last post in our machine learning series, we showed how nonlinear regression algos might improve regression forecasting relative to plain vanilla linear regression (i.e., when underlying reality is nonlinear with complex interactions). In this [...]
The "stock market," at least as measured via the S&P 500, has been on an epic performance run -- especially relative to almost all asset classes. It doesn't matter whether you look at the other [...]
"How can a q-theoretic model price momentum?" is a new paper by Robert Novy-Marx and goes right to the heart of an intense debate ongoing in empirical asset pricing -- can neoclassic economic models explain [...]
Early in the summer, I was on a podcast with Corey Hoffstein discussing momentum investing. During the discussion, Corey asked me a question regarding risk versus mispricing, specific to the momentum anomaly. We frequently cite [...]
We've covered momentum investing extensively over the years, to include 94 posts, a book on the subject, and numerous discussions on various podcast outlets. There are a few things one notices after thinking about a [...]
The Conservative Formula: Quantitative Investing made Easy Pim van Vliet and David Blitz A version of this paper can be found here. Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category. [...]
Trading costs are a hot topic these days. The topic has sparked investor attention because of the rise of systematic factor investing strategies available via the ETF structure. It seems as if everyone is a [...]
Here is a link to our podcast on Flirting with Models. Today I am speaking with Jack Vogel, co-CIO of boutique ETF issuer Alpha Architect. I’ve known Jack for some time now and was particularly [...]
As a native Philadelphian and huge basketball fan, I fully agree with the 76ers fan's rally cry -- Trust the Process. Even the players, such as Joel Embiid, have echoed the sentiment of the fans: [...]
In the past, we have examined the following two topics: (1) stock performance & the 52-week high and (2) the investment CAPM. When examining the performance of stocks relative to their respective 52-week high (highlighted [...]
We believe there are cause and effect relationships in the world -- and in investing -- that hold true over time. Many are common sense and easily observable - like fire creates smoke - while [...]
