The Future for Factor Investing May Be Different Than its Backtested Past
We believe there are cause and effect relationships in the world -- and in investing -- that hold true over time. Many are common sense [...]
Are Trend-Following and Time-Series Momentum Research Results Robust?
When it comes to trend following and/or time-series momentum research, we got ya covered! A few places to dig in: Evidence for Long-Term Trend-Following by Alpha [...]
The Costs of Implementing Momentum Strategies
There are now hundreds of factors in what John Cochrane famously called the “zoo of factors.” However, there are only a small number that meet [...]
The World’s Longest Multi-Asset Momentum Investing Backtest!
As evidenced by the image below, interest in momentum research has taken off since the original 1993 Jegadeesh and Titman paper: Source: "Two Centuries of [...]
Momentum Everywhere, Including in Factors
Momentum is the tendency for assets that have performed well (poorly) in the recent past to continue to perform well (poorly) in the future, at [...]
Time Series Momentum (aka Trend-Following): A Good Time for a Refresh
Similar to some better-known factors like size and value, time-series momentum is a factor which has historically demonstrated above-average excess returns. Time-series momentum, also called [...]
Value and Momentum Factor Portfolio Construction: Combine, Intersect, or Sequence?
Wes asked that I contribute to the ongoing debates regarding the construction of value and momentum portfolios. There are three key research pieces on [...]
The Mother of All Momentum Research Reports. A Must Read!
J.P. Morgan researchers, Marko Kolanovic and Zhen Wei, produced an incredibly detailed report on all aspects of momentum (one of our favorite topics!) Here is [...]
Momentum and Market Anomalies
Momentum is the tendency for assets that have performed well (poorly) in the recent past to continue to perform well (poorly) in the future, at [...]
Do factor portfolios survive transaction costs?
Factor investing, and the associated intellectual battles, have raged for decades in academic finance journals. However, now that factor investing has gone mainstream via ETFs, [...]
Monetary Momentum
On most mainstream finance websites, a good chunk of the stories discuss the FED and where interest rates are going. Intuitively, this makes sense: The [...]
Factor Investing with Factor Expert Lu Zhang
Replicating Anomalies is arguably a "must-read" for anyone who thinks about factor investing and is looking to improve their understanding of the space. Lu Zhang, [...]
A Fund Flows Theory for Value and Momentum Investing
Value and Momentum Investing -- our two favorite factors. We talk about these phenomena on our blog all the time, and have given both rational and behavioral explanations as to why these may occur. However, very few in the finance community are direct investors into Value and Momentum securities -- the individual stocks (or bonds) themselves. Many use ETFs or mutual funds to gain access to these factors. Institutions generally do the same, either investing in hedge funds or managed accounts. This is delegated asset management, whereby one delegates the decision of the security selection onto a third-party manager. A by-product of delegation is that from time to time, the third-party manager must be assessed. While many may claim the process is most important, the performance is always taken into consideration. So what happens to a Value manager who is overweight the wrong industry? While the manager may be following the same process discussed ex-ante, the ex-post assessment may be that the manager needs to be fired due to underperformance.
Replicating Anomalies
Academic research is amazing and incredibly useful for helping us better understand the complex world in which we live. In fact, academic research has literally [...]
Short Term Momentum and Long Term Reversals Can Coexist
In their seminal 1993 paper, “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency,” Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman reported significant returns [...]
Trick Question: How is the Momentum Factor Performing YTD?
If you ask your typical long-only investor (or financial advisor) how momentum is doing this year they'll likely say, "Amazing!" This statement will almost surely [...]
Avoiding Overpriced Winners: A Better Way to Capture the Momentum Premium?
Any frequent reader of our blog knows we are fans of momentum investing. At this point, investment professionals should know that momentum historically works, that momentum [...]
The Global Value Momentum Trend Philosophy
Our Global Value Momentum Trend Index ("GVMT" or "GVMT Index") is a globally diversified equity strategy that leverages trend-following to manage tail-risks. The strategy can [...]
Chinese Market Anomalies – The Factor Killer?
The Oracle of Omaha just commented on the Chinese stock market in this year's Berkshire's annual meeting: ...Markets have a casino characteristic that has a [...]
Swedroe Spotlight: Enhancing Momentum Strategies Via Idiosyncratic Momentum
Momentum is the tendency for assets that have performed well (poorly) in the recent past to continue to perform well (poorly) in the future, at [...]