Elisabetta Basilico

Why did credit marketplaces ditch peer-to-peer?

Most platforms now intermediate—pooling loans into short-dated portfolios and, increasingly, offering bank-like products that absorb liquidity risk. Why did credit marketplaces evolve away from pure peer-to-peer? This paper quantifies the welfare value of those design choices.

Equity duration and predictability

Equity duration has increased dramatically. As firms reinvest more and delay payouts to the future, asset prices become more sensitive to changes in expected returns rather than fundamentals.

Designing Risk Scenarios

This paper rethinks how financial regulators should design stress tests. Rather than treating stress testing as a pass/fail assessment, the authors show it should be viewed as an exercise in information gathering.

The Wealth-Insurance Puzzle: Rethinking Risk Coverage and Affluence

A longstanding belief in household finance is that wealthier people should buy less insurance because they can afford to self-insure. But this new research turns that idea on its head. This analysis shows that wealthier U.S. households actually purchase more life and property insurance - not less.

Why the Last Few Minutes of Trading Might Matter More Than You Think

This paper reveals a striking pattern in U.S. stock markets: the prices of individual stocks often reverse direction at the very end of the trading day. Using high-frequency data, the authors find that the last few minutes—particularly the closing auction—are dominated by large institutional flows that cause temporary price pressure. This is followed by a reversal the next day.

Do Smart Machines Make Smarter Trades?

Can machine learning models help us exploit stock market anomalies more effectively? This paper says yes—but with a few important caveats. By applying gradient boosting algorithms to a wide array of established anomalies (like value, momentum, and quality), the authors show that machine learning methods can significantly improve the performance of long-short strategies.

The Hidden Effort Problem: Work more and get better results?

Increased executive effort correlates with positive earnings surprises, higher cumulative abnormal returns post-earnings announcements, and narrower credit default swap spreads. Moreover, portfolios constructed based on changes in executive effort demonstrate significant risk-adjusted returns, underscoring the tangible value of diligent leadership.

Raising Capital from Investor Syndicates with Strategic Communication

The structure of investor syndicates—hierarchical or flat—significantly impacts the flow of information and investment decisions. In hierarchical structures, differentiated incentives can lead to persuasive cascades, while flat structures promote truthful information sharing.

Working More to Pay the Mortgage

The study examines how households adjust their labor supply in response to changes in mortgage payments due to fluctuating interest rates.

A Good Sketch is Better than a Long Speech

In the evolving landscape of financial technology, innovative methods are emerging to assess creditworthiness. One such approach involves analyzing borrowers' facial expressions during loan applications to predict delinquency risk. This study explores this novel intersection of psychology, machine learning, and finance.

Go to Top