This paper examines the impact of FinTech credit on the growth of small firms in China’s e-commerce sector. By leveraging a regression discontinuity design, the study provides causal evidence that access to automated online credit boosts sales, transactions, and customer capital for firms, particularly in regions underserved by traditional banks.

FinTech Credit and Entrepreneurial Growth

  • Harald Hau, Yi Huang, Chen Lin, Hongzhe Shan, Zixia Sheng, Lai Wei
  • Journal of Finance, 2024
  • A version of this paper can be found here
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What are the Research Questions?

The main research questions addressed in this paper can be summarized as follows:

  1. What is the causal impact of FinTech credit on entrepreneurial growth?
  2. Can FinTech credit alleviate the credit constraints faced by small firms, particularly in emerging economies like China?
  3. What are the mechanisms through which FinTech credit fosters firm growth?
  4. How do factors like the cost of loan distribution and the quality of the legal environment affect the growth benefits of FinTech credit?

What are the Academic Insights?

By analysing data from Alibaba’s Taobao platform, the authors find:

  1. The causal impact of FinTech credit on entrepreneurial growth is significant. Firms that gain access to FinTech credit experience notable growth in their business performance. In fact, the study finds that firms with access to FinTech credit see an 18% increase in sales and a 13% rise in transaction volumes in the average month following credit approval. Additionally, firms with credit access receive higher customer ratings for product quality, service, and consignment (logistics), reflecting improved customer satisfaction and loyalty. These ratings increase by around 0.05 points on a standardized scale, demonstrating enhanced customer relationships and long-term value. Finally, firms use FinTech credit to invest in advertising, expand product offerings, and improve conversion rates from webpage visitors to customers, thus driving further growth.
  2. Yes, the paper provides evidence that FinTech credit can alleviate the credit constraints faced by small firms, particularly in emerging economies like China. Specifically, the study shows that:
    • FinTech credit compensates for the shortage of traditional bank credit, particularly in regions where state-owned enterprises (SOEs) dominate and crowd out small private firms from accessing bank loans
    • FinTech lenders, such as Ant Group, use real-time transaction data and automated credit evaluations to provide loans more efficiently and at lower cost, allowing small firms to access much-needed capital
    • FinTech credit helps integrate China’s fragmented credit market by providing uniform access to credit across different regions. This is particularly important for small e-commerce vendors operating on platforms like Alibaba’s Taobao, who may otherwise be constrained by local banking practices
  3. FinTech credit fosters firm growth through several key mechanisms. First, firms use the credit to invest in essential business activities such as increasing advertising and expanding product offerings, which help attract more customers and boost sales. Additionally, access to credit enables firms to enhance customer service and improve customer experiences, leading to higher customer ratings and stronger loyalty, which are crucial for long-term growth. This improvement in customer capital supports sustainable business expansion. Firms with access to FinTech credit are also better at converting webpage visitors into paying customers and retaining them for future purchases. The credit helps firms meet short-term working capital needs, particularly during seasonal spikes in demand, ensuring they can maintain operations smoothly. Furthermore, FinTech lenders like Ant Group can monitor and enforce loan agreements in real time, reducing loan risks by relying less on external legal systems. Finally, FinTech lenders have lower loan distribution costs than traditional banks, making it more feasible for them to offer credit to smaller firms that banks might overlook, further promoting firm growth
  4. The growth benefits of FinTech credit are enhanced by lower loan distribution costs and less reliance on the legal environment. Traditional banks face high costs in lending to small firms, while FinTech lenders operate more efficiently online, allowing them to serve smaller firms at lower costs. In regions with weak legal systems, FinTech credit has a greater impact, as it relies on real-time monitoring and alternative enforcement, making it more accessible where traditional banks may avoid lending due to higher risks. Thus, FinTech credit is particularly beneficial where traditional credit constraints are more severe

Why does this study matter?

This study matters because it provides empirical evidence on how FinTech credit can significantly alleviate credit constraints for small firms, especially in emerging economies like China, where traditional banking systems often fail to serve small businesses effectively. By using advanced data-driven credit evaluations and automated lending processes, FinTech platforms offer an alternative to conventional bank loans, enabling small firms to access capital, grow their businesses, and improve customer relationships. The findings have broader implications for economic development, as they show how FinTech innovations can promote entrepreneurship and economic growth in regions where credit access is traditionally limited. Furthermore, the study contributes to a deeper understanding of the relationship between finance and firm growth, offering a model that could be applied in other emerging markets globally.

The Most Important Chart from the Paper:

Abstract

Based on automated credit lines to about two million vendors trading on Alibaba’s online retail
platform, and a discontinuity in the credit decision algorithm, we document that a vendor’s
access to FinTech credit boosts its sales growth, transaction growth, and the level of customer
satisfaction gauged by product, service, and consignment ratings. These effects are more
pronounced for vendors with (1) sparse credit information; (2) less collateral; (3) higher
distribution costs; and (4) weaker debt contract enforceability in local regions, all of which
reveal a FinTech advantage over traditional credit technology.

Elisabetta Basilico, PhD, CFA
Dr. Elisabetta Basilico is a seasoned investment professional with an expertise in "turning academic insights into investment strategies." Research is her life's work and by combing her scientific grounding in quantitative investment management with a pragmatic approach to business challenges, she’s helped several institutional investors achieve stable returns from their global wealth portfolios. Her expertise spans from asset allocation to active quantitative investment strategies. Holder of the Charter Financial Analyst since 2007 and a PhD from the University of St. Gallen in Switzerland, she has experience in teaching and research at various international universities and co-author of articles published in peer-reviewed journals. She and co-author Tommi Johnsen published a book on research-backed investment ideas, titled Smarte(er) Investing. How Academic Insights Propel the Savvy Investor. You can find additional information at Academic Insights on Investing.

Important Disclosures

For informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as specific investment, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Certain information is deemed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Third party information may become outdated or otherwise superseded without notice.  Neither the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) nor any other federal or state agency has approved, determined the accuracy, or confirmed the adequacy of this article.

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