DIY Trend-Following Allocations: December 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. Partial exposure to international equities. No exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: November 2022
Standardized Performance Factor Performance Factor Exposures Factor Premiums Factor Attribution Factor Data Downloads
DIY Trend-Following Allocations: November 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. No exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: October 2022
Standardized Performance Factor Performance Factor Exposures Factor Premiums Factor Attribution Factor Data Downloads
DIY Trend-Following Allocations: October 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. No exposure to REITs. Partial exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Portfolio Architect as a Tool for Growing Your Business: Today at 12pm EST.
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Global Factor Performance: September 2022
Standardized Performance Factor Performance Factor Exposures Factor Premiums Factor Attribution Factor Data Downloads
DIY Trend-Following Allocations: September 2022
Current Exposures:
- No exposure to domestic equities.
- No exposure to international equities.
- No exposure to REITs.
- Full exposure to commodities.
- No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Treasury Bonds: Buy and Hold or Trend Follow?
If one had to invest in buy and hold treasury bonds or trend-followed treasury bonds, it is likely that most investors would prefer the trend-followed bond investment. However, in a broader portfolio context, the analysis suggests that how one 'eats' their bond exposure is largely irrelevant and the portfolio's long-term outcome will be driven by equity market dynamics. Bonds systematically lower an equity-centric portfolio's returns, but they also lower the risk profile of the overall portfolio.
Global Factor Performance: August 2022
Standardized Performance Factor Performance Factor Exposures Factor Premiums Factor Attribution Factor Data Downloads
Trend Following Says Commodities…But Nothing Else!
The analysis above highlights that we are in a rare regime when commodities are the only long asset with a positive trend. The last time this happened we entered a long period of high inflation and poor real returns. Will this happen again? Who knows. But we do know that post-1973 we entered a world where, for several decades (at least up to around 2007), both bonds and commodities were an important component of a diversified portfolio. The recent past has arguably made investors complacent in their reliance on a stock/bond portfolio as an end-all-be-all solution. When history tells us that incorporating commodities into a portfolio probably makes sense from a diversification standpoint.
DIY Asset Allocation Weights: August 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. No exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: July 2022
Standardized Performance Factor Performance Factor Exposures Factor Premiums Factor Attribution Factor Data Downloads
DIY Asset Allocation Weights: July 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. No exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: June 2022
The following factor performance modules have been updated on our Index website.[ref]free access for financial professionals[/ref]
DIY Asset Allocation Weights: June 2022
No exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. Half exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: May 2022
The following factor performance modules have been updated on our Index website.[ref]free access for financial professionals[/ref]
DIY Asset Allocation Weights: May 2022
Big changes this past month: Half exposure to domestic equities. No exposure to international equities. Half exposure to REITs. Full exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds.
Global Factor Performance: April 2022
The following factor performance modules have been updated on our Index website.
Trend is Generally Your Friend…Unless You are a Bond Investor…
Do-It-Yourself tactical asset allocation weights for the Robust Asset Allocation Index are posted here. (Note: free registration required) Request a free account here if you [...]